The Championship – 15th February

Last weekend continued our run of form in February with the below winners advised on the blog and twitter;

  • Lay Nottingham Forest at 2.56
  • Lay Wolves at 2.44
  • Back Scotland -3.5 points at 1.82
  • Back Sir Des Champs at 2.46
  • Back Wales +8.5 points at 2.16
  • Back England -1.5 points at 2.04
  • Back Zenit in-play v Liverpool at 2.98

We did however have a couple of losers with Sheffield Wednesday not beating Derby and neither Rooney or Van Persie scoring in Madrid.

So the record for this month on all bets stands at 14 winners from 16 bets, hopefully this can continue this weekend.

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I’ve said enough times this season that if Palace are above even money at home I’m a backer. With their 9 wins from 15 home games this has proved profitable. It is now 8 defeats in 53 league games at Selhurst Park. For me the key to Palace for the rest of this season is Kevin Phillips. I was saying back in December he was the one player Palace needed and he has proved his worth so far. He’s came of the bench twice and completely changed the game in Palace’s favour.

This weekend Palace face a Middlesbrough side who sit bottom of the form table and were lucky not to be on a six game losing run after Leeds missed a whole host of chances on Tuesday night. For me this is a simple bet, Palace are better than Boro and their home form is superior to Boro’s away record (they’ve lost 9 already). I give Palace at least a 50% chance of winning this, therefore anything above 2.00 has to be taken.

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Back Crystal Palace at 2.10 – Coral

[symple_heading type=”h4″ title=”Derby County v Wolves” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Derby are another side I like to follow at home this season. They’ve won 8, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their games at Pride Park this season. That’s a 53.33% success rate at home therefore I would price them up at around the even money max. against teams from the bottom half of the table.

This weekend they face Wolves, a team that are in real danger. They are only out of the relegation zone on goal difference, they are also in no form, whereas the teams below them are picking up points. Wolves are now winless in 8 and have lost 5 of them.

With the above in mind I have to give Derby more than a 50% chance of winning this.

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Back Derby at 2.08 – Betfair

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Despite getting Peterborough and Bristol City wins in the toilet roll acca, I only got 6 up. Although the six I did get up would of paid out at 1737/1+.

This week we have a cut down card due to the FA Cup so this week the acca only pays out at 982/1+ with Bet Victor.


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