The Championship – 1st March

February was a good month for us and got the bank back up after a terrible January. We now stand at +30.36% so another good month here and the target of beating the interest rates of the banks will be almost guaranteed.

We also had another good week on Twitter with the below bets;

  • England -6.5 points v France at 1.83
  • Scotland to beat Ireland at 2.62
  • Feyenoord v PSV Over 2.5 goals at 2.00
  • Gareth Bale to score v West Ham at 2.58

Unfortunately the perfect 6 Nations record was undone by backing Italy+6.5 points v Wales at 2.28. However I’m still very happy with 8 winners from 9 bets in the tournament so far.

[symple_heading type=”h4″ title=”Wolves v Watford” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Wolves are in free-fall at the moment, we took them on last week when the faced Cardiff and we got paid out at 2.46. This week they face Watford who are in better form and are more clinical in front of goal. Where Cardiff will grind out a result, Watford will seek to batter teams into submission, especially away from home. They have the best away record in the league, W-10 D-2 L-5 F-38 A-24. Logic suggests that Watford will score at least once tonight, but I actually fancy then to score two or three.

Wolves don’t offer much threat up front, they have player that can hurt teams but they don’t seem interested and there is no confidence around the place. They may score a goal tonight but I really think they’ll need at least two to get something out of this game. If Watford were away to another side in the relegation zone they would be priced at odds-on (unless Zola makes six changes again). With Wolves in terrible form and looking like they’ll be in League one next season I cannot understand why Watford are odds against. Leicester are the same price to win at Ipswich and Ipswich are higher up the league than Wolves and in better form, Leicester are below Watford in the table and in worse form.

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Back Watford at 2.30 – Coral
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[symple_heading type=”h4″ title=”Leeds United v Millwall” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Millwall may have won at Middlebrough last weekend but in truth they are a poor side. Beating Boro at the moment should be seen as a great achievement, I’ve seen their last four games and they have really gone off the boil. This week Millwall travel to an inconsistent Leeds side who have a 2-2-2 record from their last six games. However this is still better than Millwalls 1-0-5 record.

Leeds are better than a Millwall side who I feel punched above their weight for most of the season, then lost key players to other clubs at a time when they needed to strengthen. Elland Road is a tough place to go and Leeds have a 10-2-4 record there this season. Of their four defeats three have come against Cardiff, Hull and Watford, whoa re all better than Millwall and the other was by Birmingham who for some reason always get a result up there.

The market has this priced up like these teams are equal but in truth there will be at least ten points between these side at the end of the season.

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Back Leeds United at 2.24 – Betfair
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[symple_heading type=”h4″ title=”Blackburn v Peterborough” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

It’s getting close to the time where I can collect on my Peterborough to be relegated bet. They were the worst team in the league and that was before George Boyd left. He was the star of the show in their 5-1 victory at Millwall, but in the two subsequent games they have failed to score and look to have lost that cutting edge.

One goal for Blackburn may good enough to settle this and with Jordan Rhodes up front they have a goal scorer who can change games like this. I actually like the Blackburn squad and believe that if the fans had got behind Steve Kean they would be challenging for promotion. However protests and managerial changes have really hurt their season. They do now look to have some stability back and have an FA Cup quarter final to look forward to. They will be hoping to push on this season so if they miss the play-offs they will carry momentum into next year.

With the quality of these two sides and where I expect them to finish I would have Blackburn priced at 1.85, that may seem short but I’m taking a long term view on this.

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Back Blackburn at 1.94 – Betfair
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