Newmarket 4th May

After a successful jumps season we get to the first classic of the flat season. Looking through the card it looks to be one to take on a couple of the shorter priced with some double figure selections. At this stage of the season though I would only advise small stakes. My bets are win only but if security is more your thing then they have solid each-way claims.

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Tangerine Trees is one of the horse that is on my follow list for the season. Things didn’t go for him last year but he is a class horse. His Abbaye win in 2011 is in my opinion the strong form, that day he had Sole Power, Prohibit and Wizz Kidd all in behind. I have the belief that this horse can run right up to the potential it showed back then and if he does he’ll be a player in these sprints. He’s already a course and distance winner, something that none of the others are and he was impressive when staying on last time out to win up at Musselburgh.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]Back Tangerine Trees at 17.0 – Coral[/symple_box]

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This was my tweet from Thursday night;

I managed to get my money on at average odds of 34.4 however I still consider him value at the current 25.0. The front two in the market have obvious claims but I can see Toronado burning himself out, he won the Craven in impressive style but Havana Gold hasn’t even taken up his entry in this race and neither has Dundonnell, who look to be more of a sprinter.

Van Der Neer is my selection at the prices, he may look like the 2nd string but William Buick is no second string jockey, he is more than capable of winning the big races. Last time out this horse had all sorts of trouble in-running. He may struggle with the pace of this race but if the front runners don’t see it out he’ll be staying on, he actually looks a serious Derby contender based on the form of his only defeat to date. That defeat cam against Kingsbarns, who is currently one of The Derby favourites.

I’m taking a punt on this one as I would have him price at 17.0 max.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]Back Van Der Neer at 25.0 – Betfair[/symple_box]

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