Of the last twenty-four sides promoted from League One, thirteen (54.16%) have finished in the bottom half. From the eleven that finished in the top half of the table, five of them had previous premier league experience.
In the last three seasons it may look like the gap between The Championship and League One is closing, with six of the nine promoted teams finishing in the top half. However when you look at these sides four of them had previous premier league experience, Brighton were heavily financed and also had experience at this level. Millwall were the main over achievers, they managed to finish 9th in their first season back, despite having some of the lowest crowds in the league. To me this shows that the gap isn’t closing and it’s more of a case of the Championship getting better, therefore ‘bigger’ clubs are being relegated from it but they are still stong when they come back.
In reality it is far more likely that clubs the size of Doncaster, Peterborough and Scunthorpe will struggle to finish in the top half. There is only so much clubs of this size can invest. Even if they have rich backers, they are only getting 10,000 through the gates. There is only so much of the shortfall these backers will be prepared to fill to try and be competitive with clubs who get bigger crowds. Then there is the question of attracting talented players. Just because a club can pay more in wages doesn’t mean they will get the best players wanting to join a side who play in front of small crowds and are unlikely to trouble the play-off places. All too often these clubs end up with washed up journey men on big wages, who don’t really care about the club.
This all brings me to Bournemouth they have signed Elliott Ward and Ian Harte. Both of these players have talent and will add some quality but are they really good enough to help them be seriously competitive? They have also signed Mohamed Coulibaly, a right midfielder who has two goals and no assists in twenty-six career appearances. Looking at their squad I cannot see enough quality or experience at this level for them to challenge for a top half finish.
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Back Bournemouth To Finish in Bottom Half at 2.50 – William Hill