Premier League 17th – 19th August

[symple_heading type=”h4″ title=”Swansea v Manchester United” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Whilst watching Manchester United in last weekends Community Shield it struck me that not much seems to have changed. They still look to attack at pace down the wings and the players they have are the same as the ones that won the league by eleven points last season. A lot is being made about how David Moyes is apparently out of his depth and whilst I don’t think United will win the league, I certainly don’t see them completely imploding. Last season they won 12 of their away games and when they visited The Liberty Stadium they were priced up at 1.70, although they did draw that game 1-1.

Again it looks like Robin Van Persie will be key to their chances this season. Last term he scored in 21 of his 38 appearances and looks set to continue where he finished after he score two on Sunday. This game doesn’t look like it will be a high scoring affair however if United score, as you would expect of a side that failed to score only three time in 2012-13, then Van Persie is most likely. With the addition of Wilfred Zaha they should win a higher number of penalties this season, something which he was able to do for Crystal Palace last season.

I was tempted but the odds against on Manchester United but have instead decide to go for Van Persie any-time goalscorer as I think it’s more likely he will score than the Manchester United victory, at a bigger price.  I’m going to wait until after the 3pm games to place this bet as I think they’ll be a price drift on Betfair or some special offers around.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]Robin Van Persie Anytime Scorer at 2.10 – General[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h4″ title=”Norwich v Everton” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I’ve had a few pounds on Everton to be relegated this season, I don’t really think it will come in but at 33/1 it looked big. Roberto Martinez is a manager that I like and I like his philosophy about how the game should be played. He comes to an Everton side who have some very talented players but that have been used to a very different style of play over the last ten years. I have a feeling that it may take some time for them to adapt. Norwich have bought well in the summer, Van Wolfswinkle and Hooper should get them goals which is something they were missing last term.

I can see why Everton are favourites in this match but I can’t understand why the price is so short. They only won four games away from home last season. When Everton visited Carrow Road in February they were priced at 2.20 and lost 2-1, the previous season they were priced at 2.40 and drew 2-2. Norwich were pretty solid at home last season, only losing four games and keeping eight clean sheets.

I wouldn’t want to be backing Everton in this at anything under 2.80, on paper it looks like a draw and I see no reason why Everton are priced up like they have 41% of winning this when they only won 21% of away games last season.

[symple_box color=”red” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]Lay Everton at 2.46 – Betfair[/symple_box]

 

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