Premier League 24th August

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Liverpool away from home at odds-on?

Liverpool seemed to get a lot of credit for their 1-0 ‘thumping’ of Stoke last weekend. I think the people that wrote the reports were watching a different game to me. Liverpool had lots of shots from outside the area that went off target and only had marginally more of the ball. So all in all they look about the same of last season, lots of shots from outside the area but it’s not all clicking. They’ll hand out some thrashings this season but will also concede a few if their defending against Stoke is anything to go by.

Stoke had a number of chances to score at Anfield, they hit the crossbar and Mignolet was forced to make some very good saves. If Stoke had a player of the quality of Benteke they surely would have got a result at Anfield. However they don’t and Aston Villa do.

Villa were excellent after falling behind against Arsenal and again in the 2nd half at Chelsea in midweek. They were very unlucky not to get something from the game at Stamford Bridge. At best I would have a Suarez-less Liverpool priced at 2.30 for this, however I do think as the season unfolds we’ll be able to look back at this game and ask why Liverpool weren’t 3.00+.

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Lay Liverpool at 1.99 – Betfair

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Back Benteke to score anytime at 2.88 – Stan James

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I got a few comments last week for laying Tottenham at odds-on when they visited Selhurst Park. However even though that bet lost I was happy enough with it as Spurs didn’t look like scoring other that from that penalty.

I was expecting to see Stoke, a side who are seen as relegation candidates, at around 2.00. Palace and Stoke played each other twice earlier this year in the FA Cup with both games ending as draws. Taking that as a piece of form it shows that Palace can be competitive here.

Stoke don’t have much of a creative spark and they could run into the same issues that Spurs had last weekend. Add into that an extra week for Palaces’ new signings to settle in and get some match fitness they could cause Stoke some serious problems, especially with Dwight Gayles’ pace on the counter attack.

Palace won’t lose every game this season and they would have targeted this as one they can get a result from. Stoke will be expecting to win this but a lack of a cutting edge could seriously harm their chances against a well organised unit.

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Lay Stoke at 1.89 – Betfair

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