The Championship 27th & 28th September

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Huddersfield v Blackpool” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Huddersfield are unbeaten at home this season, having won two and drawn two. They’ve already beaten 8th place Bournemouth 5-1 and drawn 1-1 with leaders QPR. Blackpool have been impressive so far and currently sit in 4th position. However defensive frailties are beginning to show, they conceded three at Millwall and two against Leicester in their last two outings. I said last weekend that I didn’t expect Blackpool to stay in the top half for the whole season and I expect both them and Huddersfield to be closely matched come May. If I was having to price up a head-to-head on these side finishing positions I’d have Huddersfield as my favourites. The reason for that is because the have the better squad, in my opinion, I think they’ll score more and concede less. For those reasons I want to be with the side from Yorkshire in this as I’d have them priced in the 2.20 – 2.25 range.

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Back Huddersfield at 2.45 – BetVictor
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Nottingham Forest v Derby” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I love to bet on a derby match, generally the team that is favourite is always over-priced. ¬†Derby are a side I’ve come to like over the last year, I still think they’ll have a decent season but at the moment they are playing poorly. Defeats at home to Reading and Burnley may not look to bad on the face of it but they were awful in the 1st half of both of those games. Forest aren’t on a much better run at the moment after a decent start they have draw their last two games 2-2. However I feel that they won’t get a better opportunity to break the hold Derby have over Forest. Derby have won three of the last four with the latest meting ending in a draw. I think that Forest will be challenging for a top two finish this season, whilst I have Derby in the 6th to 10th group. That in theory gives Forest a 10-20 advantage over Derby. With that gap as my guide I wouldn’t have Forest priced up at over 2.00.

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Back Nottingham Forest at 2.15 – Coral
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Bolton v Yeovil” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Yeovil haven’t scored more than one goal in any of their eight league games this season, in fact they’ve failed to score in five of them. So you’d think a trip to the bottom side would be perfect to turn that form around. However Dougie Freedman will set his Bolton side out with a bank of five then a bank of four, if Bolton take the lead then they’ll sit back and try to see it out. ¬†Yeovil matches have gone over 2.5 goals twice this season (25%), Bolton matches have gone over 2.5 goals 50% of the time, with Bolton only scoring more than a solitary goal on one occasion. Taking all that into account I had under 2.5 goals priced at 1.70 – 1.80.

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Back Under 2.50 Goals at 2.10 – BetVictor
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Leicester v Barnsley” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Leicester have made a good start to the season, although that was expected after the way they ended last season and the money they spent. Five wins, two draws and one defeat has put them in a great position for a title challenge. At time’s they are playing some excellent passing football and are capable of controlling most games at this level. They’re not flash like Watford for example, they’re not going to beat sides four or five nil, they’re happy to keep the ball and win 2-0 or 2-1.

Barnsley have made the opposite start to the season, six defeats, one draw and one win. They already have a minus thirteen goal difference! They haven’t kept a clean sheet this season and have already conceded five twice, three times if you include the cup. Even with the addition of Jack Butland it’s difficult to see how they are going to stop Leicester getting at least one goal and once they have one I fully expect them to go on and get at least one more. I think it’s worth taking the risk on them winning by at least two goals here, with the cover of money back if they only win by one goal.

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Back Leicester -1 Asian Handicap at 1.92 – Ladbrokes
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”QPR v Middlesbrough” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

QPR are on a run of six clean sheets in the league, they also haven’t scored more than one goal since the opening day of the season. Middlesbrough are scoring and conceding more, they also haven’t won for five games. However coming to QPR is a different type of game than the ones they’ve played recently. With the quality of QPRs defending it’s difficult to imagine Middlesbrough scoring more than one goal, if QPR do manage another clean sheet then they would need three goals for the under 2.5 goals bet to lose with the way QPR played last week and their goal scoring form this season I think that’s also unlikely. I was expecting around about 1.75 for Under 2.5 goals, but due to the strength of QPR in the match odds market the goals market is skewed.

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Back Under 2.50 Goals at 1.94 – 118Bet
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