Premier League 19th October

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Newcastle v Liverpool” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Historically this is a high scoring fixture and Newcastle are currently scoring goals, with two goals in each of their last five league and cup games. A large part of that is down to Loic Remy, the Frenchman has now scored five goals in the last three ¬†matches. Liverpool have obviously started the season well, however they aren’t keeping the clean sheets that they were earlier in the season, it’s now five consecutive league and cup games without a shut out.

If Liverpool travel to St. James’ Park and play the three at the back they have been recently I can see Remy and Cisse being a real handful. It also doesn’t take a massive leap of faith to see Tiote, Cabaye and Sissoko matching Gerrard, Henderson and Moses.

The usual play here would be to lay Liverpool at odds-on but with the form Remy is in he looks a much better bet to score at anytime.

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Back Loic Remy Anytime Goalscorer at 3.25 – Betfred
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Arsenal v Norwich” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Mesut Ozil is the assist king, he has 179 assists from 426 appearances. That’s an average of one assist every 2.37 games or 42% of games played. Just on a statistical basis alone I’d have him priced at 2.38 to get an assist in a match. However that’s a very ‘flat’ way of looking at it, obviously there are games where he is more likely to get and assist than others. Norwich is one of those games where it becomes more likely. Norwich were one of the side I had down to get relegated and I haven’t seen anything to change my mind yet.

I was expecting him to be priced at nearer 2.50 to get an assist, seeing as he was 3.25 when Arsenal travelled to Swansea. He is an ‘injury’ doubt, however all the reports are saying that he’ll be ready to play on Saturday. If that’s the case the main danger to this bet should be him being substituted with Dortmund on Tuesday night in mind.

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Back Mesut Ozil Anytime Assist at 3.00 – Boylesports
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Everton v Hull” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

The likes of Sturridge, Suarez, Van Persie and Giroud would all be odds on to score against Hull at home. That’s understandable as they all score a lot of goals and play in the top half sides. Therefore I’m a bit puzzled as to why Romelu Lukaku is available at odds against,he scores goals and plays for a consistently top half side. Last season he made 35 appearances for West Brom, starting 20 games, scoring 17 goals. In terms of goals to minutes played he scored a goal on average every 118 minutes.

This season he’s gone out on loan to Everton, who are a top half side and despite their lack of a goal scorer in recent years they’ve still been able to finish above Liverpool. This season he’s made two substitute appearances for Chelsea without scoring. However since his loan move he’s scored in each of his three games and now has four goals from his 216 minutes played in an Everton shirt.

Hull have had an excellent start to the season but they’re not a top half side and should find themselves fighting relegation soon, defensively they’ve looked solid enough but when they’ve gone to teams you’s expect to finish in the top half (Chelsea, Man City and Newcastle) they have conceded two goals in each of those games and if that trend continues you’d expect Lukaku to be on the scoresheet.

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Back Romelu Lukaku Anytime Goalscorer at 2.10 – Boylesports
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