Premier League 27th October

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Chelsea v Manchester City” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

These are my top two teams this season and I think Chelsea will prevail in this one. I’m expecting a tight game but Chelsea never lose at home under Mourinho, 64 played, 50 wins and 14 draws. Manchester City still haven’t found their feet away from home yet, defeats at Cardiff, Villa and a draw at Stoke show that. They beat West Ham last weekend but when they travelled to Moscow in Midweek they went 1-0 down before winning 2-1. If they go behind to Chelsea they will lose.

I can’t see why Man City are priced at 3.25 to win at Chelsea four days are a trip to Moscow. I was expecting to see Chelsea in the 2.2x bracket.

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Back Chelsea at 2.40 – Bet Victor

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Tottenham v Hull” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Tottenham have score 8 goals in their 8 games this season, and conceded 5 although 3 of those were against West Ham. Under 2.50 goals has landed in 7 of their 8 games. Spurs have kept 5 clean sheets in the league and I expect them to get another one today. Hull have started to score some goals, but they’ve only scored more than 1 in a match once this season. They’ve conceded 2 goals in all their away games this season and I think that will continue. Of Hulls 8 league games this season 6 have gone under 2.50 goals. That gives us a total of 16 games played by these sides with 13 going unders.

I can see Hull setting up to be solid and soak up Spurs pressure, with Tottenham struggling to break them down. However I think that the home side will eventually make the break-through winning 2-0. With the above unders stat so strong that has to be the bet at even money.

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Back Under 2.50 Goals at 2.00 – General

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Swansea v West Ham” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I think I over-rated Swansea after their win at Crystal Palace, since then they haven’t shown me anything to make me believe that they can be a too-half side let alone a top-six one. Despite West Hams league position they have been solid enough on the road. They’ve played four sides who are currently in the top half, drawing two of those 0-0 (Southampton and Newcastle), they won at Tottenham and lost 1-0 at Hull. That’s three clean sheets on the road, which would suggest they can be solid when on their travels. Swansea have beaten the three bottom half sides they’ve played this season to nil. However two of those were against Sunderland and Palace, with the other coming against a West Brom side who still hadn’t scored at that point.

This is going to be an interesting game tactically but I want to be against Swansea, they’ll have a lot of the ball but West Ham have shown that they can set-up in a way that makes them tough to beat away from home. At odds-on after playing on Thursday night and with West Hams away form Swansea look like a lay to me. I had them priced at a minimum 1.90, but wouldn’t want to back them at less than 2.00.

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Lay Swansea at 1.74 – Betfair

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