The Championship 22nd & 23rd November

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Doncaster v Yeovil” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I’m sure you can have a lot more fun on a Friday night in Doncaster that going to watch this match. These sides sit 22nd and 23rd in the form table, with Doncaster 21st and Yeovil 24th in the overall table. There isn’t really that much to write about this game to be honest, goals expectancy is low as between them they’ve only scored 21 goals from 29 games this season. It looks like one goal will be enough to win this and as both these sides are of equal ability I’d have the game priced at H – 2.25, D – 3.30, A – 3.75. With Doncaster priced at 2.40 they look to be the value play in this match, although a lay of Yeovil at 3.25 is appealing if you like to take less risk.

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Back Doncaster at 2.40 – Bet365
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Birmingham v Blackpool” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Fourth placed Blackpool travel to 18th placed Birmingham and I was expecting the away side to be priced at sub 3.00. Everybody expects Blackpool to drop down the table, but we’re a third of the way through the season and they’re still in the top six. Blackpool have only lost one of their last six away games. To contrast that Birmingham haven’t won any of their games against top half sides this season, they sit bottom of that particular table having lost seven of their nine and failing to score in six of those. Blackpool are a tough side to break down and have dangerous players going forward which is basically the opposite of Birmingham. Therefore I think Blackpool win this game one or two nil and at over 3.00 they have to be the bet.

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Back Blackpool at 3.20 – Bet365
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Leeds v Middlesbrough” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Changing manager brings ‘bounce’ to results, sometimes, that doesn’t mean that backing every team who change their manager will bring you riches, it’s still all about the price. Before Middlesbrough appointed Aitor Karanka they would have been priced at around the 4.00 mark for this match, to have them now priced at 3.10 is ridiculous. The market is basically saying that an untried Spanish manager is making his team 7.25% more likely to win at a Leeds side who are currently 2nd in the form table. Leeds also have the leagues top goalscorer in Ross McCormack. I added a 3.33% ‘bounce’ factor in the odds for this game and that gave me a price of 2.25 on Leeds.

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Back Leeds at 2.50 – Bet Victor
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Nottingham Forest v Burnley” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Forest had a bit of a blip with a home draw against Bournemouth followed by back to back defeats to Blackpool and Yeovil. However last time out they went to Leicester and won 2-0. Burnley are top of the league and on an eleven game unbeaten run. They are also one of my bogey teams as I think I’ve only managed to profit on two of their games in over a year now. Some people would say I shouldn’t bet on their matches but I don’t think the universe is against me every-time I bet on a football team from a Lancashire market town. The facts of this game are simple for me, I believe that Forest will finish above Burnley this season. I think the cracks are starting to show in Burnley, they went on their winning streak but then lost to West ham in the cup, they’ve drawn both their games since then and they went behind in both of those. If they go behind to Forest then I think Forest will win this comfortably, they’ve already kept five clean sheets this season and I think they’ll be ‘wise’ enough to keep Danny Ings quiet in this one. I would have been a Forest backer at anything over 2.20 in this match so the 2.38 is a must for me.

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Back Nottingham Forest at 2.38 – Bet Victor
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