Premier League 15th December

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Norwich v Swansea” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I cannot see why Swansea come into this match as favourites, they’ve not shown any sort of solid form this season. They have won five games but four of those were against clubs currently in the bottom five. Norwich are starting to ease the pressure on Chris Hughton with three wins from their last six games and all three defeats in that time were away from home against clubs in the top six. Back at Carrow Road they should see this as a big opportunity to get themselves away from the relegation zone and into the top half. Leroy Fer and Nathan Redmond are threatening going forward which is creating chances for Gary Hooper, who finally looks like he is settling into the Premier League. I would have though Norwich would be priced at 2.50 at the absolute maximum, Swansea were poor on Monday night at home to Hull (1-1) and they were poor again on Thursday when they lost to St Gallen. If Norwich are up for this and take the game to Swansea then I can see them winning this with a little to spare.

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Back Norwich at 2.90 – Bet365

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Tottenham v Liverpool” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Anyone who follows me on twitter or knows me personally may tell you that I’ve been targeting this game for a while. I think the markets and media around this game are a classics case of over-reaction and fanwank. Apparently Tottenham are in crisis, AVB is getting the sack and Spurs are awful, they can’t score goals, they can’t win games etc etc… To contrast that Liverpool are title contenders and the days of Shankly are around the corner. Yet even after all of that Spurs are only three points behind Liverpool and if (when) they win today they’ll be level on points.

There is no doubt in my mind that Spurs will finish above Liverpool this season and now that Van ┬áPersie is out for a month I have Spurs finishing fourth, at a canter. Liverpool are no better than Everton, and I think Everton will finish ahead of Liverpool, however you wouldn’t get 2.50 on Tottenham to beat Everton.

Regardless of what Liverpool have going forward, which is now weakened without Sturridge and Gerrard, they are still too open at the back. This shows when they go away from home, they look like they’ll concede at least two in every game. The concede more shots against them that any other team in the top half. That’s not a good thing to be doing when you’re visiting the side who have the 2nd most shots in the league. Liverpool do have the most shots in the league, averaging 13.47 per game however Spurs concede the 3rd least amount of shots per game. Why are shots important? Because you need to shoot to score. I think that Spurs will have twice as many shots compared to Liverpool in this game, therefore in theory they’re more likely to score. Once I add into that that Spurs are better than Luis Suarez (world class) and his mid-table class team-mates, along with Liverpool’s one win from their last six away, which came at bottom club Sunderland, and the twelve goals concede in that game, I cannot see why Spurs are any bigger than even money.

Spurs will have more chances than Liverpool (Saurez) and that will be where this game is won and lost, if Saurez doesn’t perform or is kept quite then Spurs win this to nil, if not then I think they’ll win 3-1.

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Back Tottenham at 2.50 – Ladbrokes

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