Premier League 29th December

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Everton v Southampton” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I’m putting Everton’s defeat to Sunderland down as a bad day at the office rather than the beginning of a downturn in form. Southampton have had an excellent season, but they were winless in six before the victory over Cardiff on Boxing Day. Everton have been tough to beat all year and not just this season and should be/are considered as Champions League contenders. That’s why I’m backing them at the 1.91 on offer, as they are probably at least 15 points better than Southampton over the course of a season, therefore I was expecting them to be priced at 1.75.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Everton at 1.91 – Coral
[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Newcastle v Arsenal” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I think Arsenal can win this but they are no value at the odds of 2.10. Newcastle are a good side, who have already beaten most of the top eight. This game centres around goals for me, with Newcastle always scoring and Arsenal averaging 2.22 goals per game away from home in the league, better than any other side. Theo Walcott has score two goals in each of his last two away games and he should be able to add to his tally in this match. Davide Santon has played a lot of football this season and it’s starting to show, he’s been taken off in three of the last five games, compared to playing the full 90 minutes in his previous seventeen. I can see Walcott and Arsenal getting some joy down that side and at odds of 3.25 on Walcott to continue his goalscoring run, it makes more sense to go down that route than try to pick a winner in the match result markets.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Theo Walcott Anytime Goalscorer at 3.25 – Winner
[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Chelsea v Liverpool” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

I think that the match result markets are priced about right in this and if anything I’m slightly leaning towards Liverpool, I’d back them if they were 4.00 as their performances at Tottenham and Manchester City were among the best this season. The thing that concerns me about backing them and which is ultimately stopping me is their away from v Chelsea’s home form. Like Chelsea have done against the other side in the top six this season they will try to keep it tight and frustrate their opponents. However with Luis Suarez in the form that he’s been showing I think Chelsea will struggle to keep him quite like they did Giroud. The struggled when Cameron Jerome was running at them with ‘pace’ so this will be a whole lot tougher. I’d be happy to back Suarez to score at 2.00, so 2.38 is enough to tempt me against a side who have conceded three goals against Sunderland and Stoke in the last month.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Luis Suarez Anytime Goalscorer at 2.38 – Ladbrokes
[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Tottenham v Stoke” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Neither of these sides can be trusted, I think Spurs were going well under AVB apart from the obvious bad results. The truth is they weren’t scoring but they were winning/picking up points. However that’s in the past and they’ve now got Tim Sherwood in charge, from three games he’s lost to West Ham, beaten Southampton and drawn with West Brom. The victory came away from home, whereas the other two results were at White Hart Lane and this will be a major part of his and Spurs issue for the rest of the season. AVB was correct when he criticised the home support for not getting behind the team and this has shown in results. One win in their last six home games has them sitting bottom of the home from table. Stoke will come into this game and look to frustrate the hosts and the longer that goes on the more the crowd will get on the teams back, does Sherwood have a Plan B for this, when his gung-ho Plan A isn’t working? I wouldn’t want to take 1.53 to find out. The way I’m playing this game is with the Asian Handicap markets, Stoke +1.25 (+1, +1.5) means that they need to get beaten by two clear goals for this to be a loser, if they lose by one then half my stake will be refunded and the other half is a winner. As Spurs have only managed to win two games all season by more than one goal I think this is the best bet in the match.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Stoke +1.25 Asian Handicap at 1.80 – Bet365
[/symple_box]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *