The Championship 3rd & 4th December

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Burnley v Watford” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Although Burnley haven’t been winning and are on a downwards curve, three of their last four games have been away from home. They have Watford visiting Turf Moor tonight and Watford are in terrible form. They have no wins in six, losing four of them.

Danny Ings is a doubts for this match, however Burnley still have Sam Vokes as a goal scoring threat, whereas Watford are starting to look less of a threat going forward than many believe they are. The Hornets have now failed to score in their last three home games and were beaten 3-0 by Yeovil on Saturday. They do fair better in front of goal away from home, but they have already failed to score at Blackpool and Blackburn.

Burnley look over-priced in this, and although I’ve been a terrible judge of Burnley matches for over a year now I’m not going to let that stop me taking something I see as ‘value’.

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Back Burnley at 2.24 – Betfair

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Ipswich v Blackburn” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Ipswich have only been beaten twice in their last six games and those were against 1st place Leicester and 2nd placed Burnley. Blackburn have also only lost twice in their last six but more worryingly for them is that Jordan Rhodes goals seem to have dried up. Blackburn managed to beat Leeds on Saturday thanks to a Tommy Spurr goal, but unless they get their main striker scoring again they will struggle especially away from home.

Portman Road is a tough place to go and with Ipswich currently scoring goals consistently in matches they will feel that one goal is enough to win this. If Ipswich take the lead then I expect them to go on to win the game. At a price of 2.25 Ipswich aren’t massively overpriced, maybe 0.05, but the difference here is the ability to score a goal and at the moment Ipswich are more trustworthy of that than Blackburn are.

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Back Ipswich at 2.25 – Paddy Power

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Derby v Middlesbrough” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Derby are flying at the moment, three wins in a row and five from seven since Steve McLaren took over. In that time they have managed to find the net three times in a match on four occasions and their only defeat came at QPR. Although Middlesbrough changed their manager and beat Bolton on Saturday they are still awful away from home. Their last six away games have given them one point and they’ve lost the last four of them. They may show more now they have a new man at the helm and Shay Given in goal but Derby shouldn’t be odds-against in this. I had them finish ahead of Middlesbrough before the season started and I feel they’ll confirm their superiority here.

I expect to see some goals in this too as both these sides will give the opposition enough chances to score so the best way to play it for me is Derby to win and both teams to score. I thought this bet would be priced at nearer the 3.50 mark, so was surprised I could get 4.00.

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Back Derby To Win and Both Teams To Score at 4.00 – William Hill

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