QPR v Burnley

Goal expectancies in this match are at an all time low;

  • QPR SOT 3.79 = 0.96 Goal Expectancy
  • Burnley SOT 3.96 = 0.99 Goal Expectancy

I have 0-0 priced at 7.13, which makes the 9.50 that Bet Victor are offering look great value, but Coral go even better and offer 10.0 on No Goalscorer.

Under Over
2.50 Goals 0.686221 0.313779
Predicted Odds 1.457257 3.186955
YES NO
BTTS 0.369166 0.630834
Predicted Odds 2.708806 1.585204

These sides have had seven 0-0 draws between them from fifty-four games this season, (12.96%). Burnley have had 16 games go under 2.50 goals this season (59%). QPR matches have gone Under 67% of the time.

The best way to play this game is too take on any expectation of goals and hope that the expect bore-fest plays out.

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Back No Goalscorer at 10.0 – Coral for 8.11% of Total Stake
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Back Under 2.50 Goals at 1.67 – Boylesports for 48.54% of Total Stake
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Back Both Teams To Score No at 1.87 – 888Sport for 43.35% of Total Stake
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