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Everybody, including me, has been waiting for Burnley to fall away at some point this season. It just hasn’t happened, after 30 games they sit 2nd, with three defeats and they are currently on an eight game unbeaten run. I have goal expectancies of Bournemouth 1.008494 and Burnley 1.614047. What that basically means is that Burnley should be in the 1.94 – 2.15 price range, similar to what Leicester were when they visited two weeks ago.
2.62 is too big of a price for the away win, therefore that ‘value’ will trickle down into the Asian Handicap markets. With Burnley priced at 2.16 with a line of -0.25 (0, -0.5) that looks the safest bet to have, as we’ll get half stakes back if it ends a draw.
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Back Burnley -0.25 Asian Handicap at 2.16 – BetVictor