Cheltenham Festival Day 3

Today is ANNIE POWER day although I won’t be backing her at the prices, I’m already on at bigger ante-post odds so I don’t feel the need. I do wish I’d got some more on before they made the announcement of where she was going as it would of enabled be to have bigger bets on some other horse this week, generating higher turnover and bigger profits, but that’s a boring story about bank management and risk v reward.

I think she wins and I think she wins well today. The World Hurdle doesn’t seem to have the depth in it, looking ta the Cleeve Hurdle Big Bucks should come on for the run, but at 11 I don’t think he’ll be able to beat the Mullins Mare if she stays the trip. The winner of the Cleeve doesn’t even line up in this race and At Fishers’ Cross has shown no form all season. She stays, she wins!

EDIT: Ladbrokes going 3.25 (9/4) at 9am, I think I’ll have a small top-up unless they restrict me to pennies as usual

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I think that Felix Yonger is in the wrong race, he looks much more effective over two miles and should have gone for The Arkle on Tuesday. His beating of Defy Logic over the minimum distance back in November looks to be his best bit of form.  So he’s one favorite I’m looking to take on today.

Oscar Whisky beat WONDERFUL CHARM by half a length here in December, but was in receipt of 8lbs that day, I’m fully expecting that form to be reversed today. It’s unlikely that Oscar Whisky will improve at the age of nine so there’s no logical reason for him to finish ahead of the Nicholls horse.

Taquin Du Seuil and Oscar Whisky are matched on form this season, having raced each other twice and the score being 1-1, the total distance beaten in those races is one length. Wonderful Charm should therefore have the beating of him too.  The Nicholls horse has done nothing wrong this season and his only defeat came in that race against Oscar Whisky and at six years old, he’s open to improvement.

Of the others I don’t think Double Ross is anything more than a very good handicapper. If Mozoltov and Djakadam were likely to beat Felix Yonger then I’d expect Ruby Walsh to be on one of them, he’s not so that’s a negative for me. Vukovar is an interesting runner, he’s only five so should be open to improvement however at the prices I’m more inclined to stick with Wonderful Charm who has some good form in the book and could still be improving.

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Back Wonderful Charm at 6.50 – General

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Class Horses win races! There is no horse classier in this handicap than FINGAL BAY. He’s has his injury problems but came back form those last time to win nicely at Exeter. Before his problems he’s finished 2nd to Dynaste and beaten the likes of Ballyrock and Simonsig. He’s won over course and distance, he appears to be healthy. He could make a mockery of this handicap mark as I do believe that he is a couple of levels above these.

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Back Fingal Bay at 8.00 – Bet Victor

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DYNASTE should be running in the Gold Cup and the horse that beat him at Cheltenham last year, Benefficient, should have taken his chances in the Champion Chase. However they both end up here for various reasons and I’m taking the Pipe horse to overturn that form. Since that defeat he beat a good field by six lengths at Aintree and ran a credible 2nd to Cue Card in the Betfair Chase at Haydock. He wasn’t right at Kempton in the King George where he pulled a muscle, but if he’s over that then he could be too good for this field. Benefficient is an obvious danger but like I said I think Dynaste has improved beyond him. Al Ferof is over-rated, beaten 25 lengths by Harry Topper, yes the ground was heavy but what other form does he have in the book? He was beaten a long way in the King George and won his previous start in a two horse race at 1/5. He’s won a Paddy Power Gold Cup and a Supreme at Cheltenham but that was a long time ago. Being asked to take 5.50 about a horse who has no form in the last 18 moths isn’t really my kind of bet, especially when against some Grade One horses. Will Boston Bob ever win at Cheltenham? Maybe One day but beaten 50 lenghts in the Cleeve isn’t a great prep and when the going gets tough I just don’t see him digging in, which is when he’ll make his mistake.

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Back Dynaste at 4.50 – Genral

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