The Championship 18th April

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Blackburn v Yeovil” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

YES NO
BTTS 0.468099 0.531901
Predicted Odds 2.136301 1.880048

Blackburn are unbeaten in their last eight games and in the that run they’ve beaten both QPR and Ipswich without conceding a goal. They have the 4th best home defensive record in the league, with 48% of games ending with clean sheets and conceding on average 0.86 goals per game.

Yeovil do have a decent away attacking record, 10th bets in the league, scoring an average of 1.19 goals per game. However they haven’t beaten a side in the top half of the table away from home. They’ve also failed to score in three of their eight away games against the top nine so far.

I can’t understand why this game is seen as the most likely of all today’s Championship games to end with both teams on the scoresheet. 2.30 on at least on of these sides keeping a clean sheet, looks top be a massive pricing error.

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Back Both Teams To Score No at 2.30 – Bet Victor
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Bournemouth v Sheffield Wednesday” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

YES NO
BTTS 0.480282 0.519718
Predicted Odds 2.082108 1.924122

This is a match that has the potential for a lot of goals and in the first half of the season it would have been a banker for over 2.50 goals or both teams to score. However since the close of the transfer window Bournemouth have been a completely different side. They’ve played 15, won 8 and lost 3. In those 15 games they’ve kept 5 clean sheets.

Sheffield Wednesday have also had an upturn in fortunes and they’ve kept 6 clean sheets in that time. Those clean sheet stats are what gives me some hope that a Both Teams To Score No bet can land in this match.

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Back Both Teams To Score No at 2.20 – Paddy Power
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Charlton v Bolton” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

  YES NO
BTTS 0.426825 0.573175
Predicted Odds 2.342882 1.744667

Charlton are the lowest scores in the league, averaging 0.76 goals per game and backing both teams to score no, in this match is leveraged toward whether or not you believe Charlton have the ability to score in more than 50% of their games. They’ve failed to score in 50% of their home games so far this season so I’m confident that anything around even money is the value in this market.

To add some more weight to a ‘no’ bet Charlton have kept clean sheets in 30% of their home games this season. That may be enough against a Bolton attacking that doesn’t exactly fill you with fear. They may average 1.29 goals per game this season, however they have failed to score in 24% of games.

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Back Both Teams To Score No at 2.00 – William Hill
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[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Wigan v Reading” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

  YES NO
BTTS 0.456285 0.543715
Predicted Odds 2.191615 1.839197

The 5th and 6th placed sides in the league face off with a group of clubs below them desperate to get into the play-offs. This could be a very tense encounter and whoever does take the lead will be desperately trying to hold on. Defensively Wigan have been pretty solid this season, conceding an average of 0.96 goals per game. Going forward they are pretty average, 1.32 goals per game.

Reading pose more of an attacking threat, averaging 1.50 goals per game and scoring in 79% of their games. However they have failed to score in 7 of their 19 games against their top half rivals, they’ve averaged 0.86 goals in those games which is significantly lower than their seasonal average.

I’m happy to take a ‘no’ bet in this as I can see game being more about tactical defence as opposed to a gung-ho must win style.

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Back Both Teams To Score No at 2.10 – Bet Victor
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