So we are in fight week, the wait is nearly over and I can’t wait to see how this one pans out!!
I have this feeling though that this may not be the last time we see Froch vs Groves, it’s just a gut feeling nothing more, but I just sense their could be a rubber match with these two fighters. Boxing has had some great trilogy’s over the years……could this end up being another. You’d think then that my pick for this fight is groves to draw it to one win each, but it’s just not that simple.
The build up to the second fight has seen the same carry on as the first. Carl Froch has been adamant that he is taking the second fight far more seriously. He has employed the services of a sports psychologist, and he has stated he is more up for it, more focused.
All the talk is of how he couldn’t get up for the first fight, his trainer Rob McCracken has said that he took phone calls from Carl before the first fight asking him what time training was! Froch wouldn’t be the first fighter to underestimate Groves, James DeGale also didn’t have much respect for Groves ability, and he lost. I’m just very surprised a professional like Froch, with the experienced trainer that McCracken is would take it so lightly, that was a mistake and he very nearly paid the price.
I have mentioned in a previous post that this fight depends more on groves changing his tactics than Froch his. Frochs objective is fairly simple, he wants a war. He would be best suited to goad Groves into fighting his fight, slug it out in the middle of the ring. Frochs biggest strength is his durability and his stamina, he can go 12 rounds fighting as hard in the 12th as in the 1st, he is a machine. And when he gets you going he won’t stop, he won’t gas, he won’t take his foot off the peddle. If you give Froch a sniff he can hurt you, and hurt you bad. Just look at the Lucian Bute fight. The fighters that have done well against Carl are those that have boxed him. Froch always says his boxing skills are underrated, I don’t buy that, I think his boxing skills are rated about right. Yes he has skill obviously, but to suggest he has got where he has by out boxing his opponents is just nonsense. He outlasts them, he wears them down and never stops coming forward and when his opponent has tired he just steps it up and swings in those hooks with venom.
Truth is Froch has struggled against boxers, he lost badly to Andre Ward, granted Ward is pure class and is pretty much untouchable at super middleweight but Froch couldn’t get close. He was behind on the scorecards going into the 12th against Jermain Taylor but Taylor had gassed and with 14 seconds left….Froch got the stoppage. He was out boxed again by Andre Dirrell, he got a split decision that night…..but again he struggled. So in my opinion Groves can win this fight if he chooses to box Carl Froch and prepares for a 12 rounder, no doubt.
That being said I just don’t know if Groves has the experience and composure to do that, I read somewhere that Groves has predicted he will knock Froch out in 3 rounds!! If he try’s to do that he will be playing right into Frochs hands. He needs to do what worked for him so well in the first fight, box behind the jab keep, move in and out use the jab to set up the power shot. The only thing he needs to change is to not get over confident and start swinging for the fences, regardless of whether the stoppage in the first fight was early (which it was), you can’t argue that Groves was gassing. He just threw too many punches in the early rounds, and like I mentioned earlier, where your tired and your movement is not as sharp, that’s when Froch looks to destroy you.
So who do I think will win! I really can’t call this, for me it is a 50/50 fight because both fighters have the tools pick up the win. I’m gonna go with my gut on this though, I just feel this isn’t the end of these two fighters rivalry and I so I’m gonna pick Groves with a Narrow decision win.
Either way, I am expecting some controversy in this fight again, and just can’t wait to watch it unfold.
Froch currently 8/13 with Groves @ 13/10
Groves by decision or technical decision @ 3/1 looks like the value bet.