Newmarket July Festival Day 1

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Bunker looked an exciting prospect as a two year old, however he didn’t look like he stayed ten furlongs on his seasonal reappearance, he looked like he stayed even less when tried over twelve furlongs at Royal Ascot, so the decision to send him over thirteen furlongs looks a strange one and I don’t see how he’ll stay the trip.

The horse with the strongest form line in this race looks to be WINDSHEAR. He ran a very close second too Elite Army over twelve furlongs at Ascot and before that he finished second to Cannock Chase who franked the form when winning The Tercentenary Stakes last month.

Forever Now is fancied by many to win this after his eight length maiden victory, at the third time of asking. It was an impressive victory, but I can’t really get excited about him on the level of form he shows. Most of the noises about him, seem to be based on the fact that his trainer has won this race for the last three years.

Hartnell was second in the Lingfield Derby Trial before winning The Queens Vase over two miles last month. Those two performances would suggest this trip will be around his optimum.

However Elite Army is currently 6th Favourite for the St. Leger at around 12/1, so if his performance at Ascot was rated that highly then the horse that finished within three quarters of a length whilst staying on, should go very close here.

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Back Windshear at 4.00 – Bet 365

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The Great War was so disappointing in The Norfolk Stakes last month, he faded badly and it’s difficult to see how he will reverse the form with Mind of Madness. There’s a number of unexposed types in this race, Ivawood and Belardo are two of these and they head the market. Ivawood won comfortably over five furlongs last month and represents a strong stable.

My preference is for JUNGLE CAT, The Coventry Stakes is always a race I rate highly. It has thrown up some excellent horses in the past, including Canford Cliffs, Dawn Approach and Henrythenavigator. It’s a race that usually attracts stars of the future and a race for the stables best two year olds.

Jungle Cat and Angelic Lord finished third and sixth in The Coventry, Jungle Cat should retain that form and he’s already won over six furlongs. At the prices and with a decent level of form in the book, the Mark Jonhston trained two year old looks the way to go.

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Back Jungle Cat at 7.50 – Bet Victor

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I don’t see this as a race to look into in too much detail. Ryan Moore has sided to be on ARAB SPRING and like when he chose Telescope over Hillstar last month, there’s no reason not to trust his judgement. Arab Spring has looked progressive all year, with four straight victories after making only one start in his three year old campaign. He definitely looks like he’ll have more to come Cavalryman and Dandino, who at eight and seven won’t be improving.

On what Arab Spring has done this season and the confidence the stable have in him I’d rather be with him then against him.

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Back Arab Spring at 2.38 – Bet Victor

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