Newmarket Cambridgeshire Meeting – Day 2

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”14:40 – Rockfel Stakes” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

It’s impossible to oppose LUCIDA on form lines, her 2nd behind Cursory Glance is by far the best form in the race. That race was a Group One, previous to that she finished 2nd in the Group Two Debutante. The winner of that race hasn’t been out again so it’s hard to weigh up that piece of form. New Providence comes into this on the back of winning a Group Three at Salisbury, the 2nd that day has come out and won a conditions race. That’s a good sign, but not at the same level as Lucida’s run last time out. There seems no reason to believe that Stroll Patrol will be able to reverse for with New Providence. Fadhayyil finished 2nd to Marsh Hawk on her debut, however she was seven lengths behind that day. She did however win on her next start and could still have enough improvement in her to trouble the market leaders. What You Say is another that is open to plenty of improvement, however on what we’ve seen so far she has a lot to find with Lucida. Calypso Beat finished a long way behind Cursory Glance on debut, she has improved since then as her two runner-up positions in recent Group Three’s show. However she’s another that will need to improve on form to beat the Manning, Bolger, Godolphin horse, who herself is still open to improvement. I personally believe that Lucida wins this race more than 50% of the time, therefore anything over even money I see as ‘value’. My only real concern with her is that she is running in this less than two weeks after a Group One. However the fact she’s being brought over from Ireland has to go down as a positive. [symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”] Back Lucida at 2.25 – William Hill [/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”15:15 – Joel Stakes” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

It seems strange that Arod has been dropped back to a mile for the first time since debut. He finished 4th in The Derby and 5th in the International stakes, that doesn’t show me that a mile is what he needs, especially as he’s more of a staying type on breeding. Hors De Combat has been running well, but it’s difficult to see how he can reverse form with both Captain Cat and Wannabe Be Yours. The horse that interests me is OUTSTRIP. He was a highly promising two year old and despite the teo year old form with Toormore, True Story and War Command all taking huge knocks this season, he has one bit of form where he beat The Grey Gatsby. Kevin Ryan’s horse has excelled this year, winning The French Derby, finishing 2nd in The International Stakes and then winning The Irish Champion Stakes. Granted those performances were over trips further than a mile, but it shows that Outstrip must have some ability. He outran his price at Royal Ascot when finishing 3rd behind Kingman and Night of Thunder, that no disgrace. He then finished last of four at Glorious Goodwood, but he was never going to beat Kingman or Toronado. There is no high class group one milers in this race and if he can show anything like he showed when winning The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile or The Champagne Stakes then he’ll go very close here. Custom Cut and Wannabe Yours should probably be the market leader based on their consistent for this season, but I don’t think that Outstrips form is a bad as some make out. Neither Wannabe Yours or Captain Cat would have beaten Kingman or Toronado, so to knock Outstrip on that basis doesn’t seem right. [symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”] Back Outstrip at 9.00 – Coral [/symple_box]

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