Liverpool v West Ham

Goal Expectancies

Liverpool 1.45 v 1.24 West Ham

Liverpool are an improving side and the return of Daniel Sturridge will improve them, however they still currently sit below West Ham in the league after 22 games. I have this game priced up at;

  • Liverpool 2.39
  • Draw 3.88
  • West Ham 3.08

I can make a case for Liverpool to be a little shorter with their improving form and if Daniel Sturridge returns, however I cannot have them as an odds-on shot. 1.70 is too short here for a game that looks like it will be tight.

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In the correct score market all the ‘value’ is on the West Ham side of the market, with a 1-0 away victory at 19 (18/1) offering the biggest margin. The most likely score however appears to be 1-1, which at a best price of 9 (8/1) offers some value.

In the Total Goals market the best bet looks to be Under 3.50 Goals at 1.50 (1/2), however under 2.5 and 1.5 both offer theoretical value. As usual Both Teams To Score No also looks a value bet at 2.15.

My money is going on West Ham with a +0.75 (+0.5, +1) Asian Handicap. With this bet I get half my stake back if West Ham are only beaten by one goal.

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Back West Ham +0.75 (+0.5,+1) Asian Handicap at 2.12 – Bet Victor
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