Dubai World Cup Night

I went to World Cup night at Meydan last year and am fortunate enough to be going again this year. I’m betting in six of the nine races and all the below times are UK times.

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”12:40 – The Godolphin Mile” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]
TAMARKUZ has been the best miler in the UAE this season and he should be able to confirm that on World Cup night, he is drawn in his favoured stall one like he has been for two of his last three victories.

With the best European milers not here, this race looks to be at his mercy. As long as he breaks well I doubt he’ll have any trouble seeing these lot off. I rate him a 2.00 (evens) shot at best so the 2.50 (6/4) is the play here.

The race below is him winning last time out, he had a few of his rivals here in behind that day and there’s no reason to believe that that form will be turned around.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Tamarkuz at 2.50 – Betfair Sportsbook[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”14:30 – The Al Quoz Sprint” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]
PENIAPHOBIA means a fear of poverty, and if he repeats his Centenary Sprint Cup form I don’t think that I’ll be going poor.

I was waiting for the draw and hoping that he’d be drawn high and with the speed, he’s got both of those things. People have said that being drawn in sixteen is a disadvantage, I see it as completely the opposite. He has the front runners of Amber Sky, Distinctiv Passion and Caspian Prince all drawn near him. Those three should ensure that he gets a good tow into the race.

As long as Peniaphobia isn’t met with too much trouble in running then I can see him doing what Shea Shea done here many times before, getting up late and nailing his rivals on the line.

The news from Hong Kong is that Amber Sky is over the ‘issues’ that he’s been having, however even if that is true I can’t back him in this. I backed him heavily last year on the basis that he’d ran a quicker time than anything in the race. However this year he’s not only had his issues, but he’ll also be challenged for the lead. With Peniaphobia having run a 55.49 five furlong time in the race below he’s also run a time quicker than Amber Sky ever has. Strictly on times Bundle of Joy has a great chance, however a combination of being drawn low and away from the main pacemakers has probably cost him his chance of winning.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Peniaphobia at 6.00 – Betfair Sportsbook[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”15:05 – The Dubai Golden Shaheen” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]
SALUTOS AMIGOS has been running quick times at Aqueduct over in New York all season and I’m happy to take the chance on him here.

Back in the old days, when this race was run on dirt at Nad Al Sheba, it was an American benefit race. With it now back on dirt, the yank horses look the logical place to start.

Secret Circle hasn’t won a race since The Breeders’ Cup sprint back in 2013, I have no idea why he’s favourite for this and even the Americans are confused by the price.

Rich Tapestry had Secret Circle almost two lengths behind him over in America back in October. He then ran no sort of race in The Breeders’ Cup sprint, Secret Circle finished second that day. I’m prepared to forgive Rich Tapestry that run and I would make him favourite for this race, especially as he has good bits of course form.

Like I said earlier Salutos Amigos has been running quick times all year, his Tom Fool win, below, off top weight was impressive and he won well going away.

This race will be tougher than anything he’s faced before, however times suggest that he is very capable. His trainer also seems very confident, which has to be taken with a pinch of salt as he’s American, but I can see the logic in expecting a big run from him.

At the prices, he’s the one I want to side with due to the times that he’s been running this season and the fact that he still looks open to some improvement.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Salutos Amigos at 7.00 – 888 Sport*[/symple_box]

*888 Sport only let me put half my stake on at 7.00, before cutting the price to 6.00…. I’ve placed the other half at 6.50 with Paddy Power

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”15:40 – The Dubai Turf” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]
THE GREY GATSBY finished second in the Juddmonte International and then lowered Australia’s colours in The Irish Champion Stakes. Why is he not favourite for this race? he should be a 2.50 (6/4) shot at the absolute most.

People are questioning, whether nine furlongs will be too quick for him. Those people need to watch the below race again, after nine furlongs The Grey Gatsby and Australia were well clear of the field.

I think that the trip will be no issue to The Grey Gatsby, my only concern would be the pace of the race. He is seen at his best off a strong end to end gallop,which I don’t think he’ll get here. That should see Ryan Moore, who is an excellent judge of pace, sitting more handily with him.

The Grey Gatsby, is the class horse in the race and has the form in the book to back that up. Solow is favourite for the race, and for the life of me I cannot work out why. He’s only won at Group Two level, the form of those races doesn’t look particularly strong, he hasn’t got any form on a fast surface and he’s in the worst possible stall.

I see no reason to back anything other than The Grey Gatsby in this race, if he turns up in the sort of form he showed last season then he will go very close. He’s the best horse in the race, has the best jockey on top and is a ‘value’ price.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back The Grey Gatsby at 4.50- Betfair Sportsbook[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”16:15 – The Dubai Sheema Classic” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Harp Star is making the market in this race, I think she is a wonderful horse as anyone who spoke to me before, during and after The Arc would tell you. However on what she has achieved on the track so far, she is too short here and must be opposed.

Her price is all based around her finishing speed and the belief that she was given a bad ride in The Arc. I agree that she was given too much to do that day back in October and the booking of Ryan Moore for this race will improve her chances, but she shouldn’t be favourite.

Flintshire finished second in last seasons Arc, Coronation Cup and Breeders’ Cup Turf before winning the Group One Hong Kong Vase. He’s shown a consistent level of form and should be priced ahead of Harp Star.

Main Sequence beat Flintshire in the Breeders’ Cup turf, which was one of his four Group One wins last season. He once finished second in The Epsom Derby, he then didn’t win again until he went to America a got drugged up on Lasix. It could just be a coincidence that he seems to have dramatically improved, it could be a magnificent training performance or it could be the drugs. We’ll find out in this race, hopefully, but with the lasix question mark hanging over him I don’t want to back him.

DESIGNS ON ROME is my bet in this race, to my eye he is the classiest animal in the field and is the current Hong Kong horse of the year.

His best form is over ten furlongs, where he has beaten horses like Able Friend and Military Attack. He has tried twelve furlongs once before and it didn’t go well. I am however going to forgive him that run as it came at the end of a long season and there was absolutely no pace.

I don’t think that the trip will be an issue, looking at his last race he wasn’t stopping when hitting the line. I am slightly concerned about the pace angle, but in the same way I’m confident in The Grey Gatsby, I’m confident this horse has the class to go very close.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back Designs On Rome at 6.00 – Betfair Sportsbook[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”17:00 – The Dubai World Cup” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

There was one race that I was really interested in from a form line when I first started thinking about who would win The Dubai World Cup.

That race was The Breeders’ Cup Classic, won by Bayern. Toast of New York finished second that day and would have been my bet here.

With the 1-2 from November missing it’s up to CALIFORNIA CHROME to show that the Breeders’ Cup Classic form is strong. He may have finished third that day, but he did have to travel 40 feet further than the winner from a wide draw.

California Chrome is drawn widest of all in stall nine, but that works for him as he likes to race wide. From that draw he should be able to come round the field and be prominent, which is what you need to do on dirt.

There’s been a huge amount of ‘hype’ and positivity around Lea this week. He’s never even tried ten furlongs before, he wasn’t stopping last time out but he was always held by the winner. For me he doesn’t have the form or the times in the book to make me want to back him.

Last years winner African Story returns and despite him winning on the dirt last time out, he looked like he hated it. I’m expecting Prince Bishop to get a better ride than what he did that day and reverse the placings.

Epiphania won the Japan Cup last year, which has an impressive look to the form of it. However that was over twelve furlongs and this is over ten. His form over ten furlongs isn’t as good as what he showed he can do in The Japan Cup and I think he might find this too quick. This is also his first start on dirt, he probably would have been better off going for the Sheema Classic, but U Carrot Farm already have Harp Star in that. He is one to take note of though, as he’ll be a big player in The Arc later in the year.

I have to side with California Chrome here, I think he’s the best horse in the race, the trip and track should be no problem and he’s only four so could still be open to some improvement.

[symple_box color=”green” text_align=”center” width=”100%” float=”none”]
Back California Chrome at 2.62 – Betfair Sportsbook[/symple_box]

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *