Horse Racing – Saturday 27th June

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”14:00 Newcastle – Chipchase Stakes” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

DANZENO won this race last year and looks set to repeat that this time around. In his two subsequent starts as a three year old he was touched off by a head in a handicap, off top weight and was then beaten by a head in another Group Three. He re-appeared this year in the Temple Stakes, where he ran a cracker to finish fourth from a low draw, which meant he got no cover during the race. He finished ahead of Goldream that day, who came out to win the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot last week and the step back-up to six furlongs should suit him.

Mattmu is an obvious danger, however I don’t like to back three year old sprinters in open age races, despite the weight for age allowances. I am even less likely to want to back them when their weight for age advantage is almost completely wiped out from the 6lbs penalty given due to a Group Two success.

On a line through Justice Day and Goldream Watchable has to improve by around three lengths to beat Danzeno, that in theory puts him approaching 9lbs worse off at the weights and based on last weeks run in The Wokingham it’s difficult to imagine he’s going to improve that much.

The weights look to favour Danzeno, who also has course and distance form along with the ground in his favour. He’s the right favourite and in my opinion should be nearer the 2.25 (5/4) mark that the 2.75 (7/4) on offer.

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Back Danzeno at 2.75 – William Hill[/symple_box]

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”15:25 Newmarket – Criterion Stakes” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

This race looks like a perfect opportunity for CODE RED to open his group level account. He managed to win the Listed Surrey Stakes at Epsom last time out, despite pulling early on. He gets 8lbs from the older horses and it’s seven furlongs and upwards where that starts to become key.

Hors De Combat and Wannabe Yours are closely matched on their run at Glorious Goodwood last summer, where Wannabe Yours prevailed ┬áby a neck. Hors De Combat then finished ahead of Wannabe Yours in their next start, but the Gosden colt was hampered that day and eased down. Wannabe Yours disappointed on his return two weeks ago, despite being well backed, therefore I cannot consider backing him as to the eye he’s gone backwards since that Group Three success.

Hors De Combat should probably just be favourite, however Code Red shouldn’t be that much bigger in price than him. I couldn’t really argue if they were 4.00 (3/1) joint favourites as Code Red looks to be in good form, is an improving type and also receives a decent weight allowance.

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Back Code Red at 6.00 – Bet Victor[/symple_box]

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