Royal Ascot Day 3

Day two was a profitable day, with Acapulco winning for me at 6.00 (5/1), but it could have been so much more. Bossy Guest 10.0 (9/1) was knocked around in the run and could only finish third and The Grey Gatsby 7.50 (13/2) couldn’t get into daylight, which cost him the race, finishing a nose second. Today looks the easiest day of the week, with that comes a few shorter prices, but they are on the horses I think will actually win.

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KING OF ROOKS was so good at Sandown last time out, that I knew I’d be a backer of him at Ascot. He travelled down to the start well and cruised through the race, beating subsequent Woodcote Stakes and Coventry Stakes winner Buratino by five lengths.

The one that I fear most is Log Out Island, he’s only had one run so far but it was over course and distance. He had Buratino back in third that day, five and a half lengths behind. What puts me of backing him today is that Richard Hannon believes that King of Rooks is his best two year old. Log Out Island has only had the one start so should improve, but there’s nothing to say that King of Rooks cannot improve again.

KOR

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Back King of Rooks at 2.00 – Ladbrokes [/symple_box]

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TIME TEST went straight into my notebook when winning a handicap on his seasonal re-appearance. His turn of foot in the London Gold Cup at Newbury was impressive. He looked a group class horse that day and now has an opportunity to prove that. Having only four career starts so far should leave him open to improvement. On his final start last season, he finished second to a horse called Latharnach, which finished second in the St. James Palace Stakes on Tuesday.

This bet is all about the clock and potential improvement, if Time Test improves then he’s going to be very tough to beat, but on what he’s shown already he’s a worthy favourite.

TT

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Back Time Test at 3.25 – Betfair Sportsbook [/symple_box]

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We have an Irish 1000 Guineas winner, PLEASCACH, stepping up to twelve furlongs for the first time. I’m not worried about that from a breeding point of view, she’s probably best over ten furlongs but from the way she runs I think she can see this out. She won comfortably on testing ground two starts back over ten furlongs, so running in this without a penalty for winning a group one.

She has the best form in the race and escapes a penalty, but we can get 2.00. What price would she be if we knew she stayed twelve furlongs? 1.66? I’m happy to risk my money on the belief that she stays and will show her class.

pc

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Back Pleascach at 2.00 – Bet365 [/symple_box]

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MIZZOU won the Sagaro Stakes at Ascot on his seasonal re-appearance, by two lengths from Vent De Force who won the Henry II Stakes last time out. On a straight collateral form line I cannot see how Vent De Force, Trip To Paris, Simenon or Forever Now will be able to finish ahead of Mizzou in this race. I’m expecting the Luca Cumani trained four-year-old to improve from his only run this season and improve due to the step up in trip. He’s already proved that he is capable on good to firm ground which is something his main danger hasn’t managed yet.

Forgotten Rules is a highly thought of horse from the Dermot Weld stable, he’s had his issues but they’ve taken their time with him. He won the long distance cup, on heavy going, back on Champions Day but the form of that race hasn’t worked out. Leading Light suffered a career ending injury, whilst Biographer, Pallasator and Big Orange have all been poor this season.

They watered the track last night, however by 16:20 with another dry day predicted I’d expect well be back to good to firm, which is a worry for Forgotten Rules and Tac De Boistron. Mizzou has shown he handles quick ground, the form of his win this season has worked out well and he shapes like the extra four furlongs will bring further improvement.

miz

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Back Mizzou at 6.00 – Coral [/symple_box]

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