Royal Ascot Day 5

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I’m hoping that the predicted rain doesn’t get into the ground too much as the quicker it is the better it will be for POSTPONED. He has shaped like he’s going to be a real threat in Group One races this year and he now gets his chance over twelve furlongs, which is his best trip. In last seasons Great Voltigeur he beat Snow Sky by two and a quarter lengths, Snow Sky then went on to finish third in The St. Leger and also beat Brown Panther this season. That’s one good form line, but on Postponed’s runs this season he’s finished second to Western Hymn who finished third in The Prince of Wales Stakes on Wednesday. The form of his Tattersalls Gold Cup third also looks strong, Al Kazeem is a consistent Group One horse, whilst The Grey Gatsby was the moral winner of the Prince of Wales Stakes.

Telescope is the right favourite, but he’s too short a price for my liking. He won this race last year but he has only won once since then, last time out in a listed race at Newbury. In his last Group One start he finished fourth behind Main Sequence and Flintshire who haven’t lit the world alight since then.

The 2.50 (6/4) looks too short a price for me, I would have him nearer 3.00 (2/1) with Postponed at around a 3.50 (5/2) shot.

Postponed

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Back Postponed at 4.33 – Bet365 [/symple_box]

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Brazen Beau is the one to side with here according to the Australians. Last time out he beat a field top southern hemisphere sprinters including Lankan Rupee. He was receiving weight all round that day, but if it was off levels he still would have won. However he’s a three year old, which always worries me in group one sprint races.

Due Diligence finished second in this race last year, when he had Astaire, Music Master, Gordon Lord Byron and Tropics all in behind. The form of that race has worked out well, however Due Diligence was disappointing on his seasonal re-appearance.

MUSTAJEEB won The Jersey Stakes last year and won impressively on his only start of this year at The Curragh. He should improve for that run, which has hopefully put him spot on for today. Connections would appear to think a lot of him as they took him to the Breeders Cup Mile in November, he didn’t show much that day but he’s at his best at a shorter trip. I’m expecting him to run a big race and at the prices I want to be with this horse.

Mustajeeb

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Back Mustajeeb at 6.50 – Betfair Sportsbook [/symple_box]

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