Thursday was a profitable days racing after Mehmas showed his class, to win the July Stakes and I’m expecting more of the same today.
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Bletchley won an interesting Notting ham maiden last month, a race which has a bit of form to it but nothing exceptional. She is priced up as favourite for this race on the back of her second placed finish in The Albany stakes at Royal Ascot, three weeks ago. That’s understandable, but I don’t feel that was a particularly strong race with the front four finishing in a heap.
I’m more inclined to go with a potential improver and the once raced NASIMI is my selection. She won a Haydock maiden by three lengths and the form in behind is working out well. The second placed horse came out and finished second in a minor event, but then came out and won a listed event a couple of weeks ago. Obviously she will need to improve on her Haydock run, but it was in a good time and she was only 0.32 of a second slower than The Albany, despite not being fully exerted and very green. She should have come on for the experience and I expect her to go very close today.
BACK NASIMI at 5.00 (Bet365, Coral, Betfred)
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A very interesting fillies group three in which I keep coming back to BESHARAH. Not only is she a course and distance winner, but I also believe she has the best form in the race. As a two year old she finished third in The Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot, and neither Acapulco nor Easton Angel have done anything to make let that form down, in fact they may have enhanced it. Later in the season she went to York and won the group two Lowther Stakes by over two lengths, with Lumiere, Easton Angel and Quiet Reflection, who won this seasons group one Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot.
This season she has been campaigned over seven and eight furlongs, which really isn’t her thing. However the form of her fourth placed finish in the group one D’Essai des Pouliches has worked out well. The winner, La Cressonniere, looks a potential superstar. Qemah, who finished second, came out to win the group one Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot, in which Alice Springs finished third after finishing behind Besharah at Deauville.
Back down in trip to six furlongs is the correct move for this horse in my opinion as I believe she is capable of being a group one sprinter, therefore I expect her to have too much class for these.
BACK BESHARAH at 4.50 (Bet365, William Hill, bet Victor)