Two winners from two bets yesterday, means that I’m up 3.75 points for the meeting so far, another couple of winners will do very nicely.
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A very completive Gordon Stakes this year, a race that has been won by the like Highland Reel, Noble Mission and Harbinger in the past.
Ulysses is a very well bred horse and has the hype to go with it; however I’ve not been sold on him. I said before the derby that I didn’t rate the form of the maiden he won very highly and he was ineffective in The Derby, although some excuses can be made that day due to the run he got. He may develop into a very nice older horse, but at this stage of his career I want to take him on.
Prize Money is a horse I backed last time out at Newmarket, and the time before that at Royal Ascot. He was beaten at Royal Ascot by subsequent Coral-Eclipse winner Hawkbill, so that’s a strong form line. However the run at Newmarket was awful and for no obvious reasons, it could be that he just needs a break, therefore I’m avoiding him today. Platitude, Harrison and Goldmember all finished in front of Prize Money that day, in a race that was won by Housesofparliament.
The horse that I’m interested in is SHOGUN, the Aidan O’Brien train colt was disappointing in both The Derby and Irish Derby however the ground can be used as an excuse, he was also 34.0 (33/1) for those races. He’s only won once in his career so far but he hasn’t had his optimum conditions of good ground and twelve furlongs. The nearest he got to those conditions was in the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial (ten furlongs, good ground) where he finished second. He had Idaho behind him that day and that horse went on to finish third in The Derby and second in The Irish Derby, for me that’s a strong enough form line to win this and if the conditions do bring about improvement I expect him to go very close.
BACK SHOGUN AT 7.00 (Betfred)
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We had the clash of the classic winners at Royal Ascot and we see part two today, along with their first meeting against the older generation. I don’t think there’s a star in the older horses this year, like we had with Solow in 2015 and therefore I feel we should be concentrating on the three year olds.
The key form line is from the St. James’ Palace Stakes last month. 2000 Guineas winner, Galileo Gold, was able to turn around the form of the Irish 2000 Guineas, where he was beaten by Awtaad. Galileo Gold won by 1 ¼ lengths from THE GURKHA and I’ll be siding with the French Guineas winner here. Watching the Royal Ascot race back I feel that The Gurkha was given too much to do on soft ground. With todays conditions I expect him to be ridden closer to the pace and be able to reverse those placing’s.
BACK THE GURKHA AT 2.88 (Paddy Power)
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GLOBAL APPLAUSE is a notebook horse of mine, and I backed him at Royal Ascot he was slightly disappointing that day, but I’m prepared to forgive him that run due to the soft ground. For me he has the best form in race, due to his victory in The National Stakes at Sandown, where he beat Coventry stakes runner-up Mehmas.
The Last Lion finished in front of the selection (2nd) at Ascot and has since gone on to win a Listed Race in very good style. He’s a major player here, but I’m prepared to give Global applause the benefit of the doubt as conditions should suit, therefore I’m expecting him to run to the level of form that he showed pre-Ascot.
BACK GLOBAL APPLAUSE AT 4.33 (Bet365, Coral, Paddy Power)