Newmarket July Festival | Day 1

Today looks like a perfect opportunity to get the money back from a couple of narrow defeats at Royal Ascot.

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PRIZE MONEY finished second in the Tercentenary Stakes, when carrying my money, last month. he ran a creditable race with almost three lengths back to the third. The winner that day was Hawkbill, who came out and won the Group One Coral-Eclipse on Saturday. That race had the French Guineas winner and the Prince of Wales’ Stakes winner in it, so that looks like strong form.

The selection is up in trip here and will need to settle better, but will a strong pace likely to be set by Race Day and Harbour Law he will be able to track them, I don’t particularly have any doubts around his ability to stay thirteen furlongs, as he’s stayed on in all his races so far. I thought that he’d be a fair bit shorter than 3.00 (2/1), so I’m happy to get involved.

BACK PRIZE MONEY at 3.00 (General)

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MEHMAS finished second in The Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot, another one that I backed, but there is no shame in finishing behind Caravaggio. He had the well regarded Psychedelic Funk two and a half lengths back in third. Yalta finished back in eight that day and there’s no reason to think he’ll turn that form around.

Ardad won the Windsor Castle at the Royal meeting in impressive fashion, he’s up in trip here but created the impression that the extra furlong won’t be in issue. I don’t have anything against him, but I just believe that the form of The Coventry will work out better in the long run. I rate the main danger to the selection as Silver Line, he finished third in The Norfolk Stakes with Global Applause, Peace Envoy and Legendary Lunch in behind. I like them three horses, but that race was over five furlongs and improvement will be needed to get up to the level that Mehmas has shown over six.

I expected to see the selection priced up shorter and I believe that the market is under-rating him due to the fact he finished second on his last two starts, both of which I can make valid ‘excuses’ for.

BACK MEHMAS at 3.75 (Coral)

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Exosphere flopped at Royal Ascot, when sent off a very warm favourite in The Hardwicke Stakes and i don’t see how he can be favourite for this. For me there’s only one horse that appeals in this race and that is THE GREY GATSBY.

The Kevin Ryan trained five year old ahs the best form in this race and he receives weight, 3lbs, from Exosphere. The Grey Gatsby finished second in The International Stakes and won The Irish Champion Stakes as a three-year-old, as well as winning that years Dante. As a four-year-old he went to Dubai and finished second to Solow, later that season he was beaten by a short-head/nose in The Prince of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot, which was then followed up by finishing second in The Eclipse to Golden Horn. His seasonal re-appearance this year was in the Prince of Wales’s at Royal ascot, where he finished fourth on unsuitable soft ground. he has his ground conditions today, gets weight and has the best from in the book. I think he should be outright favourite and therefore I’m a backer.

BACK THE GREY GATSBY at 4.33 (Bet365)

Cherry Analysts

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