Beating Rotherham and Nottingham Forest at home doesn’t mean that Brighton are now an amazing side. I don’t understand why Brighton are such strong favourites here. Even though Reading have lost their last two they were at the well fancied Wolves and Newcastle, I don’t think there is any disgrace in losing away at either of those sides.
As I’ve mentioned a few times, Reading were one of the better sides in generating positive shot numbers last season. Brighton were also high up on that list, however they weren’t above Reading on my numbers. My goal expectancies for this match has it as Reading 1.17 v 1.06 Brighton.
In what I expect to be a low scoring game I have to be siding with the home team at the prices. I believe that Reading should be favourites, not strong ones but favourites none the less. For me Reading 0 Asian Handicap/Draw No Bet should be slightly odds-on.
BACK READING 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 2.43 (888 Sport)