The Championship | 13th August 2016

[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Leeds v Birmingham” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

Garry Monk is already starting to be found out at Leeds and we’re only two games into the season. Leeds failed to register a single shot on target in their opening 3-0 defeat at QPR and were then taken to penalties by Fleetwood Town in a midweek cup match.

Birmingham were solid away from home last season, only being defeated six times and recording seven victories. This made them the sixth best away side in the division. By contrast Leeds only won seven home games and lost eight, this left them nineteenth in the home table.


My numbers have the goal expectancies for this match at Leeds 1.14 v 1.21 Birmingham. I didn’t see anything from Leeds last week that made me believe they’re about to improve on last season’s performances. Birmingham are no shining lights offensively, however the signing of Che Adams has given them more options going forward.

I can see this being a very close match, and wouldn’t rule out another 0-0. My Asian Handicap bet sees me siding with Birmingham on the 0 line, which means stakes will be returned in the event of a draw. I believe that over the course of the season it will be proven that Birmingham are a better side than Leeds and I don’t expect Garry Monk to be in the job come May.


[symple_heading type=”h2″ title=”Wolves v Reading” margin_top=”20px;” margin_bottom=”20px” text_align=”left”]

For all the excitement around Molineux since the investment over the summer, the start to the season hasn’t lived up to expectations. A draw away to Rotherham followed by a late cup win over lowly Crawley in the cup.

Reading have picked up where they left off, creating loads of chances but not really taking them. I’m not sure how long they can last before they begin to hammer sides. Last season I had them second on shot data, only Hull had more shots than them and only Hull conceded more shots than Reading. That shot data has given me the goal expectancies of Wolves 1.20 v 1.24 Reading.


The combination of ‘investment’ at Wolves along with last season’s league table has made Reading the value in this match, in my opinion. I believe that shot data is the most important factor in deciding the strengths of sides. On what we have available Reading are considerably better than Wolves, at this stage. Therefore my best bet is to side with Reading to on the 0 Asian Handicap line at 2.29.


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