An interesting matchup, which should tell us a lot about these sides. Everton looked like they could be this season’s surprise package after four wins in a row took them to second in the table. However those matches were against four of the worst sides in the league, Stoke, Sunderland and Middlesbrough. Interestingly Crystal Palace’s upturn in fortune has seen them beat the same three sides to see them climb up to seventh in the table. It could be a case that both of these sides have benefitted from an easier run of fixtures and they’re actually two closely matched mid-table sides.
On shot difference statistics, Everton (+28) sit 7th with Crystal Palace (+17) in 9th, although if we look shots on target difference Everton (+27) top the table, whilst Crystal Palace (+4) remains in 9th. Everton have conceded a league low of 12 SOTs this season, which is an impressive achievement but I doubt they’ll be able to maintain a rate of only 19.35% of shots against being on target. They will regress to the mean, which means they will concede more goals and drop more points, something that may have began at Bournemouth last weekend.
From a betting point of view I believe Everton have to be opposed at odds-on, at this stage of the season I don’t think there’s much difference between these two sides and even looking at the squads I couldn’t say that Everton’s key players are better. I’m backing Crystal Palace on the 0 Asian Handicap line which means stakes will be returned in the event of a draw.
BACK CRYSTAL PALACE 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 3.95 (888 Sport)