I’m still not sure how Sunderland went 2-0 up last weekend, they scored from two of their first three shots on target (they only had four in the entire match) and the second goal came as a result of a shot being saved. On shot difference Sunderland sit 19th in the league with -53, whilst the SOT difference table has them in 16th with -18. The fact that;
- 31.03% of their shots for have been on target
- 27.78% of their SOTs for have resulted in goals
- 32.43% of their shots against have been on target
- 33.33% of their SOTs against have resulted in goals
Means there is limited reasons to believe that they will be climbing the table anytime soon.
Whilst what we’ve seen from Sunderland was to be expected, I’ve been surprised by West Brom. At the start of the season I had them down as the second worst side in the league, however they’ve managed to pick up eight point so far and sit 9th in the table. They’re posting some sustainable shot statistics both for and against, so whilst the football may not be pretty so far it’s proving effective. Their SOT difference sits at -5, whilst their shots difference is at -15. If they keep within that sort of range for the entire season, they’ll comfortably stay up in around 12th position.
I think that West Brom are a huge price to win this game, not because they are particularly good but because I see Sunderland as a regressive team that has a very limited potential upside, apart from Jermain Defoe they look poor all over the pitch.
Backing West Brom on the 0 Asian Handicap line is the way to play this match, if it’s a draw then stakes are returned but the upside it that you can get odds against, 2.29, on an outcome that I believe should be odds-on, 1.68.
BACK WEST BROM 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 2.29 (Bet Victor)