Burton v Birmingham

A clean sweep on midweek Championship bets increased this seasons profits to +8.64 points, based on a level stakes system. I was thankful for those wins as some of the bets I’ll be putting up over the coming days will likely raise some eyebrows.

Birmingham make the short trip to Burton for this Friday night fixture and I’m siding with the odds-on relegation favourites, Burton, to make home advantage count. Burton have lost their opening three fixtures of the season, however they’ve played current league leaders Cardiff followed by trips to Hull and Middlesbrough. That’s a tough start to the season by any standard. Burton have only managed twelve shots in those three games but they’re not going to go through the season only having four shots per game. With the likes of Marvin Sordell and Hope Akpan in their side things aren’t all bad.

Birmingham’s season started with a 1-0 defeat away at Ipswich, they may have deserved a point. Since then they’ve had two home games in which they’ve came from behind to beat Bristol City. The big thing to take from the Bristol City game was that Che Adams went off injured and that showed in midweek. Bolton were the visitors to St. Andrews and the hosts were outshot and didn’t even muster a shot on target. This quote from Harry Redknapp doesn’t inspire confidence either.

“I couldn’t see us winning and I was looking for the final whistle. I couldn’t say that I enjoyed the game. It was almost the same team which struggled to stay up last season and that is a big worry.”

Birmingham look like they’ll be in another relegation battle this season and for that reason alone it’s difficult to make a case for them being favourites away from home against anyone at this stage of the season.As I said at the start of the season, I’m going to be even more trusting of my numbers this season. Burton are too big a price against a side that will struggle to score goals. I’m very happy to take the 2.05 available on the 0 Asian Handicap line. This is the same as the ‘Draw No Bet’ market, meaning that in the event of a draw¬† stakes are returned.


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