Four Asian Handicap bets for another busy Saturday in The Championship.
Birmingham v Reading
I don’t particularly rate either of these sides. My model has Birmingham as favourites yet not as strong as the market makes them.
This market just appears wrong. Birmingham are a shorter price to win this than they were against Bristol City. I backed them that day (-1) and they won 2-1. They weren’t impressive, Bristol City outshot them 25 to 18. In their next home game they drew 0-0 with Bolton, they failed to have a shot on target and were also outshot by 12 to 10. Birmingham are not a good side and I trust my numbers, so this is a simple bet to make for me.
BACK READING 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 2.63 (888 Sport)
Burton v Sheffield Wednesday
Backing Burton last weekend paid dividends and I can see no reason not to back them again today. I mentioned last week that Burton couldn’t continue to average only four shots per game. They managed twelve against Birmingham and with the signing of Sean Scannell they should create more. Marvin Sordell and Lloyd Dyer are decent players at this level and can definitely trouble Sheffield Wednesday.
BACK BURTON 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 2.70 (888 Sport)
Cardiff v QPR
Cardiff have been good to be this season, wins over Aston Villa and Wolves have boosted the bank. They have a 100% record but they won’t win every game this season. I think it’s too early in the season for them to be odds-on in this matchup. They’re the same price as Norwich were to beat QPR ten days ago, Norwich are probably better than Cardiff.
At the odds on offer I’m happy to take a chance on QPR in the 0 Asian Handicap/Draw No Bet market.
BACK QPR 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 3.85 (888 Sport)
Ipswich v Fulham
For me Ipswich are a myth! They’ve managed to scored from 9 of their 11 shots on target, they cannot continue at that rate for the rest of the season. At the other end of the pitch, they’ve conceded more shots (82) than any other side. They’ve only conceded from 16% of the shots on target they faced, that is unsustainable.
However at the prices I want to ride the wave for at least another week. Fulham are an overrated side, they’re not as good as they were last season, they’re not outshooting teams. Fulham have only managing 11.25 shots per match compared to the 15.48 per game they averaged last season. Defensively they’re conceding an average of 14.75 shots per game, compared to 11.39 last season. It’s a small sample size, but the early signs for Fulham aren’t encouraging.
BACK IPSWICH 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 2.52 (Bet Victor)