Manchester United v West Ham

Watching Manchester United last season and again on Tuesday night it was pretty obvious that they are missing a player who is able to breakdown a well drilled defence consistently. If you look at players like David Silva, Raheem Sterling and Kevin De Bruyne at their City rivals they can break down defensive minded sides. Marcus Rashford, who at this stage appears to be unable to pick a pass isn’t the player they should be turning too if they need assists. Lukaku’s fantastic strikers, however you wouldn’t expect them to score goals from outside the area as he has seven in his entire career. You also won’t see him picking up the ball and running past players into the box. However if you can get the ball to him in the box he will score goals.

On my numbers Manchester United didn’t do much wrong last season, per game they averaged;

  • 15.5 Shots For
  • 35.76% of shots for were on target
  • 9.42 Shots Against
  • 31.75% of shots faced were on target

Broadly they played the same as Chelsea but had the finishing stats of Sunderland. Manchester United only converted 25.71% of their shots on target, whereas Chelsea were scoring fromĀ 41.67% of their shots on target. Both of those numbers are unsustainable and point to Manchester United improving this season, where Chelsea won’t reach last year’s heights.

Despite the predicted improvement in Manchester United’s results, I still don’t see them as a side that will win 75% of their home games against the bottom twelve in the league. Therefore I’m confident in taking them on today, especially as I can get a full goal headstart on West Ham and get my stake back if the home side only manage to win by a single goal.

BACK WEST HAM +1 ASIAN HANDICAP at 3.00 (888 Sport)

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