Premier League | 26th August 2017

Bournemouth v Manchester City

On Monday I backed Everton +1 at 3.00, on the basis that Man City were too short to win the match. Therefore I’m shocked to see that The Citizens are now 1.33 to win AWAY from home, three games into the season. They’re the same price to win this match as they’re were to win at Brighton, I’d make Bournemouth at least a 1.10 chance to finish ahead of potentially the worst side in the history of the league.

Getting Bournemouth with a full goal start, at home at odds-against is obviously too big a price. Taking them on that line even gives you the security of stakes being returned in the event of a single goal defeat.

BACK BOURNEMOUTH +1 ASIAN HANDICAP at 2.95 (888 Sport)

Crystal Palace v Swansea

I’m a Palace fan, and a believer that Frank De Boer will improve this club. However There is no way that Palace should be odds-on to win this match. Yes, Swansea have given up 46 shots this season, but they’ve played two of the better sides in the league.

On the face of things a 1-0 defeat at Anfield looks like a good result. However Palace were awful, Liverpool should’ve won by two or three clear goals.

My numbers suggest that backing Swansea on the 0 Asian Handicap line is the way to go here. As a fan I want Palace to win, but money in my pocket is more important to me.

BACK SWANSEA 0 ASIAN HANDICAP at 3.10 (888 Sport)

Manchester United v Leicester

Backing against Manchester United in the short term may prove costly, however I believe that in the long term it will show a profit. They will not continue to score from 57.14% of their shots on target and 20.51% of their shots. The also won’t continue to concede from 0% of the shots they face. Leicester are overachieving in front of goal at the moment, scoring from 71.43% of their Shots on Target.

Leicester with a full goal start is the way to bet this match in my opinion. I’ve given the foxes a 55% chance of scoring in this, which means Manchester United would need to score at least three for this bet to be a loser.

BACK LEICESTER +1 ASIAN HANDICAP at 2.85 (888 Sport)

One Comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *